Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.112937 0.130600 0.150098 0.173219 0.199889 0.229692 0.265533
2025-12-07 0.082420 0.105369 0.133306 0.169813 0.216281 0.273486 0.349331
2025-12-14 0.066314 0.090892 0.122907 0.167663 0.228650 0.308933 0.422820
2025-12-21 0.056777 0.082373 0.117612 0.169662 0.244650 0.348908 0.505188
2025-12-28 0.051362 0.078281 0.117158 0.177387 0.268442 0.401169 0.609846
2026-01-04 0.046305 0.073756 0.115141 0.182051 0.287664 0.448265 0.711782
2026-01-11 0.042036 0.069711 0.113101 0.186043 0.305801 0.495083 0.818007
2026-01-18 0.037956 0.065343 0.109866 0.187471 0.319621 0.536092 0.918983
2026-01-25 0.033779 0.060225 0.104706 0.184908 0.326228 0.565604 1.003572
2026-02-01 0.029629 0.054605 0.097982 0.178737 0.325699 0.582622 1.067945
2026-02-08 0.027411 0.052123 0.096369 0.181275 0.340582 0.627538 1.186217
2026-02-15 0.025204 0.049383 0.093945 0.181966 0.351998 0.667133 1.298604
2026-02-22 0.023453 0.047345 0.092676 0.184839 0.368136 0.717670 1.438533
2026-03-01 0.021105 0.043869 0.088300 0.181221 0.371359 0.744168 1.534965
2026-03-08 0.019189 0.041024 0.084817 0.178927 0.376833 0.775390 1.643969
2026-03-15 0.017937 0.039398 0.083586 0.181060 0.391508 0.826367 1.799037
2026-03-22 0.017372 0.039167 0.085190 0.189303 0.419859 0.908228 2.028320
2026-03-29 0.016553 0.038278 0.085291 0.194279 0.441644 0.978372 2.239687
2026-04-05 0.015739 0.037303 0.085090 0.198538 0.462253 1.047972 2.457304
2026-04-12 0.014784 0.035890 0.083759 0.200062 0.476779 1.105499 2.653483
2026-04-19 0.013616 0.033836 0.080748 0.197327 0.481074 1.140226 2.799962
2026-04-26 0.012308 0.031294 0.076328 0.190743 0.475474 1.151405 2.891133
2026-05-03 0.011696 0.030407 0.075751 0.193451 0.492740 1.218331 3.126053